February 2026 | Chronic Absenteeism, Teacher Retention & Summer Readiness | GSW Insights Skip to main content

From the Desk of GSW Education Partners

February Brings Data to Match the Feeling

"School leaders we talk to every day know something is wrong before they see the numbers. February makes that feeling concrete. The attendance data is out. The retention surveys are in. And the clock on summer readiness is already running."

Three data points have been on our minds all month. Not because they are surprising. Most of you have been living these realities since September. But they crystallize the decisions that need to happen before spring is over.

This edition breaks down each one and tells you what program leaders can actually do about it.

By the Numbers

28% of Students Are Chronically Absent. Here Is What That Really Means.

Students chronically absent nationally in SY 2024-25 The National Center for Education Statistics defines chronic absenteeism as missing 10% or more of school days. At 28%, this is the highest sustained rate in the post-pandemic era and more than double the pre-pandemic baseline of 13-15%.

For afterschool and extended learning programs, chronic absenteeism is not just a school-day problem. It shows up in your program enrollment, your attendance data, your family engagement rates, and your outcomes reporting. Students who are chronically absent from school are also the students most likely to disengage from your afterschool program, often for the same underlying reasons: transportation barriers, family instability, unmet health needs, or a fundamental disconnection from school as a safe and worthwhile place.

What Program Leaders Can Do Right Now

The most effective afterschool responses to chronic absenteeism we have seen share one trait: they treat attendance as a symptom, not the root problem. Programs that invest in understanding why students are absent, and then build bridges between the family, the school, and the program, see the most sustained improvement.

Data sharing agreements between afterschool programs and school districts remain underused. If your program does not have a formal data-sharing arrangement with the schools you serve, that is worth pursuing before the end of this school year. It is one of the highest-leverage infrastructure investments you can make.

The Workforce Picture

44% of Teachers Report Burnout Symptoms. The Spring Hiring Window Is Already Here.

Teachers reporting burnout or high stress in a 2025 RAND survey The same RAND survey found that 26% of teachers said they were likely to leave the classroom within the next two years, roughly double the historical norm of 12-14% annual attrition.

For education leaders, this is not just a retention conversation. It is a recruitment conversation. If nearly one in four teachers is considering leaving, then the pipeline you are building today is not going to fill the gaps you have today. It is going to fill the gaps you will have in 18 months.

The districts navigating this most effectively are doing three things: they are conducting structured retention conversations now, before spring decisions are made. They are treating workload reduction as a retention strategy, not just a morale issue. And they are making career pathways visible to early-career teachers who would otherwise see a flat trajectory.

If you do not have a structured spring retention plan, this month is the time to build one. The decisions teachers make in February and March are often final by April.

The Paradox

92% of Principals Say Engagement Is Their Top Priority. Students Say Otherwise.

92%
School principals who cite student engagement as a top-3 priority (Wallace Foundation, 2025) At the same time, only 51% of high school students describe themselves as "highly engaged" in school, a 9-point drop from 2019. The gap between leadership intent and student experience has rarely been wider.

This is not a critique of school leadership. It is a diagnostic signal. When the top priority of principals is also the area where students report the most persistent dissatisfaction, it points to a gap in strategy, not in effort.

Afterschool and extended learning programs are positioned to help close this gap in a way that school-day models cannot always replicate: through choice, relationship, relevance, and pacing that responds to students rather than to curriculum maps. The programs that lean hardest into those strengths are the ones that see the most meaningful engagement gains, and the ones that become genuinely valued partners to the school-day team.

The Summer Warning

Your Students Will Lose 2 to 3 Months of Math Skills This Summer. The Clock Is Already Running.

The research on summer learning loss is not new, but the scale of the problem in 2026 is. Post-pandemic skill gaps mean that students entering summer already behind grade level are at risk of falling even further behind, and the organizations best positioned to interrupt that cycle are afterschool and summer programs.

February is the right time to audit your summer program's readiness. Staffing, curriculum, partnerships with school-day teams, data on which students are most at risk of losing ground: all of this needs to be in place before June. We have built a free diagnostic tool specifically for this purpose.

Free Tool

Take the Summer Program Readiness Assessment

Our free Summer Program Readiness Assessment gives you a scored evaluation of your program across six pillars: Curriculum and Programming, Staffing and Talent, Operations and Safety, Financial Health, Leadership and Management, and Community and Partnerships.

The full assessment takes about 15 minutes. You will receive a tier placement (Foundation Phase, Building Momentum, Growth Ready, or Ready to Scale), a pillar-by-pillar breakdown, and a set of priority recommendations for your program this summer.

From Our Team

What We Are Hearing from District Leaders Right Now

Every week we talk with program directors, HR administrators, and district leaders navigating these same challenges. The conversations all have a similar shape right now: people know what the problems are, and they know the stakes are high, but they are stretched thin and uncertain about where to put limited energy first.

That is exactly what GSW Education Partners is built to help with. Not with a one-size-fits-all framework, but with a practical conversation about your specific context, your constraints, and your most important next step.

If anything in this edition sounds like your situation, reach out at contact@gsweducationpartners.com. No agenda. Just practitioners talking with practitioners.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does a 28% national chronic absenteeism rate mean for K-12 programs?
Nearly one in three students is missing 18 or more school days per year, double the pre-pandemic baseline of 13-15%. For afterschool and OST programs, this represents both an urgent challenge and a clear mandate. Programs with consistent attendance and family trust are the highest-leverage intervention point in many communities.
Why are teachers leaving the classroom at such high rates in 2025?
RAND's 2024 survey data indicates burnout is driven primarily by workload and lack of autonomy, not motivation or passion for the work. This is an important distinction: structural interventions like workload audits and planning time protections outperform recognition programs and stipends in reducing attrition risk.
How can afterschool and OST programs help address chronic absenteeism?
Programs with strong family relationships, consistent adult connections, and shared attendance data with school-day partners are showing the most impact. The students who are most chronically absent from school are also the most likely to disengage from afterschool programs without intentional re-engagement strategies.
What should K-12 program leaders do now to prepare for summer 2026?
Start with an honest assessment of your program's current state across six pillars: curriculum and programming, staffing and talent, operations and safety, financial health, leadership and management, and community and partnerships. GSW's Summer Program Readiness Assessment is a free 12-question tool that gives you an immediate score and action recommendations.
How can districts retain educators through the spring semester?
Spring is peak attrition risk. Early contract offers, transparent communication about fall assignments, and workload relief in the final semester signal that educators are valued. Pipeline partnerships with local preparation programs reduce dependency on the open market for fall replacements.

Sources & Further Reading

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Turn the Data Into Action

Let's Talk About
What the Numbers Mean for You

The data in this edition points to real decisions that need to happen before spring is over. A free Discovery Call is the fastest way to translate what you just read into a concrete next step.

No obligation. No pitch deck. Just practitioners talking with practitioners.